DML Morning Briefing ~ Aug 22

GOP’s chances in the midterms, new wave of migrants hit US schools, and more.

By  Anneta Griffee

Today is August 22. Below are some of the stories grabbing headlines this morning. I hope you share this briefing as doing so will make you the smartest person in the room.

1 – GOP House majority shrinks as Democrats score key victories
Fox News reports: Republicans are expected to win the House this November, but on a slimmer margin than previously forecast, while neither party can yet claim a majority in the Senate. In this edition of the Fox News Power Rankings, the GOP suffers a net loss of six seats in the House as polling improves for the Democrats, plus shifts in almost a dozen Senate and governor’s races.

Our latest rankings still expect Republicans to win the House, now with a majority of 2 to 30 seats (a total of 220 to 248 seats). The exact number of seats depends on how many toss-up districts are won by Democrats and Republicans. If GOP candidates win half of those highly competitive districts, then the party would govern with a comfortable 16-seat majority (234 seats). Make no mistake, the national environment looks good for conservatives.

However, there are probably fewer seats in play for the GOP than there were in July. In the last rankings, Republicans were expected to take a 22-seat majority (again, assuming they win half the toss-up races). With a new estimated majority of 16 seats, the GOP net gain has shrunken by six over the last six weeks.

In those same weeks, Democrats have enjoyed a polling boost. The latest national Fox News Poll showed the Democrats and GOP tied at 41% each on the “generic ballot” question, which asked registered voters whether they would vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate in their district. Several other high-quality polls are showing similar shifts. Throughout July and August, gas prices have eased a little; the Supreme Court’s abortion ruling remained a top story; and Democrats took victory laps over computer chip manufacturing legislation and a climate, health care and tax package. It all has amounted to a late-summer swell for the left.

MY TAKE: Republicans better not mess this up – it could be the last chance to Make America Great again!

2 – Number of Republicans who say they support Trump over GOP rise
The Hill reports: Republicans who support former President Trump more than they support the GOP climbed to 41 percent in August, up seven points from May when 34 percent said they supported Trump more than the party, according to an NBC News poll released Sunday.

A slim majority of Republicans, or 50 percent, say they support the party more than they do Trump, the poll finds. But that’s down from 58 percent in May.

The former president continues to wield immense influence over the Republican party. He has heavily influenced the defeat of eight out of 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach him over the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol, either by forcing them to resign or defeating them in primaries by backing opposition candidates.

MY TAKE: Do you believe that poll is accurate, or a bit on the low side?

3 – NYC schools to enroll at least 1,000 migrant children for upcoming year
The New York Post reports: New York City public schools are preparing to enroll more than 1,000 migrant children for this coming school year, officials said Friday.

The bulk of kids — some of whom have been shipped on buses from Texas to the Big Apple in recent weeks — are elementary- and middle school-aged.

The school districts expecting the largest influxes are Districts 2 and 3 — or most of Manhattan — as well as District 10 in the northwest Bronx, District 14 in Williamsburg and Greenpoint, and Districts 24 and 30 in eastern Queens.

Schools Chancellor David Banks, joined by other city officials at Department of Education headquarters on Friday, introduced an interagency plan to transition the families to the city’s school system before classes start on Sept. 8.

MY TAKE: Well, of course, now our schools are flooded, more ESL teachers needed… and YOU and I are all paying for it!

4 – It Now Costs $300,000 to Raise a Child
The Wall Street Journal reports: The cost of raising a child through high school has risen to more than $300,000 because of inflation that is running close to a four-decade high, according to a Brookings Institution estimate.

It determined that a married, middle-income couple with two children would spend $310,605—or an average of $18,271 a year—to raise their younger child born in 2015 through age 17. The calculation uses an earlier government estimate as a baseline, with adjustments for inflation trends.

The multiyear total is up $26,011, or more than 9%, from a calculation based on the inflation rate two years ago, before rapid price increases hit the economy, the Brookings Institution said.

MY TAKE: Americans can’t afford to raise their own children, but we can still take in millions of illegal aliens and pay for them??

5 – Indictment of our system’: Dr. Birx slams CDC over COVID-19 data
The Washington Examiner reports: Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus response coordinator under the Trump administration, said having to lean on data coming out of Europe during the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 was an “indictment of our system.”

Birx applauded recent efforts to overhaul the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in an interview that aired Sunday, saying the U.S. system failed to provide real-time data in the early days of the pandemic. The health expert has long been critical of data coming from the CDC during her tenure for not being comprehensive and behind other countries.

“First and foremost, in March of 2020, all of our data that I used to warn Americans of who was at risk for severe disease, hospitalization, and deaths came from our European colleagues,” Birx told CBS News’s Margaret Brennan. “That in itself should be an indictment of our system.”